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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Twente
U T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Willem II
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
38%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 6
6 Free kicks against 3
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 7. · Willem II 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +55 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 6 3 +29 51
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 14 7 3 +21 49
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 +14 45
5 Feyenoord 23 13 5 5 +26 44
6 Groningen 23 12 5 6 +7 41
7 Twente 24 9 8 7 +7 35
8 Utrecht 21 8 8 5 +7 32
9 For Sittard 24 9 4 11 -7 31
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -3 30
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 -11 29
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 23 6 5 12 -8 23
14 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
15 VVV Venlo 24 6 4 14 -29 22
16 Willem II 24 4 5 15 -27 17
17 Den Haag 24 2 9 13 -30 15
18 FC Emmen 25 2 7 16 -32 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Willem II
Godfried Roemeratoe 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Bosch
L. Narsingh
64′
N. Markelo 🔁
↦ T. Ebuehi
66′
78′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ Pol Llonch
81′
V. Pavlidis 1–1
T. van Leeuwen 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
86′
G. Smal 🔁
↦ C. Staring
87′
L. Ilić 🔁
↦ J. Oosterwolde
87′
87′
🔁 M. Köhlert
↦ C. Nunnely
Jesse Bosch 🟨
89′
92′
🔁 J. Peters
↦ V. Pavlidis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
43 D. Dumić D
23 T. Ebuehi D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
20 G. Roemeratoe M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
40 C. Staring D
25 L. Narsingh F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (10)
24 N. Markelo
37 T. van Leeuwen
5 G. Smal
8 L. Ilić
22 J. de Lange
38 M. Bruns
10 I. Abass
39 D. Rots
30 E. van der Gouw
6 W. Brama

Coach: R. Jans

Willem II

4-4-2
49 A. Murić G
25 S. Holmén D
32 S. van Beek D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
21 M. Trésor F
43 W. Spieringhs M
20 K. Wriedt F
10 V. Pavlidis M
7 C. Nunnely M
Bench (10)
30 L. Selahi
11 M. Köhlert
4 J. Peters
26 J. Brondeel
48 V. Schippers
16 R. Zuijderwijk
24 C. van den Berg
5 I. Smeulers
15 O. Romeny
23 G. Sağlam

Coach: Ž. Petrović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U ✓
3,90
B
4,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.