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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Heerenveen

U U T S U

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

30%

65%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

45%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Vitesse 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	16	2	2	+51	50
2	PSV Eindhoven	20	13	4	3	+24	43
3	Vitesse	20	13	3	4	+16	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	21	11	7	3	+14	40
5	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+17	36
6	Groningen	19	10	3	6	+5	33
7	Twente	20	8	6	6	+8	30
8	Heracles	21	8	4	9	-6	28
9	Heerenveen	20	6	8	6	+1	26
10	Utrecht	18	6	8	4	+0	26
11	For Sittard	21	7	4	10	-9	25
12	Zwolle	21	4	11	6	-7	23
13	Sparta Rotterdam	19	6	4	9	-3	22
14	VVV Venlo	20	6	4	10	-15	22
15	Waalwijk	21	3	7	11	-17	16
16	Willem II	20	3	4	13	-18	13
17	Den Haag	20	2	6	12	-28	12
18	FC Emmen	21	0	6	15	-33	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+22	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
4	Groningen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Utrecht	10	4	5	1	+3	17
8	Heracles	10	5	1	4	+6	16
9	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Twente	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Zwolle	11	2	6	3	-2	12
12	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-13	12
13	For Sittard	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Willem II	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	-2	9
16	Waalwijk	10	1	4	5	-7	7
17	Den Haag	10	0	4	6	-12	4
18	FC Emmen	11	0	3	8	-18	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	5	4	2	+9	19
4	Feyenoord	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Twente	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Groningen	9	5	0	4	+0	15
8	For Sittard	10	4	2	4	-3	14
9	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Heerenveen	11	2	6	3	-3	12
11	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-12	12
12	Zwolle	10	2	5	3	-5	11
13	VVV Venlo	10	3	1	6	-2	10
14	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Waalwijk	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Den Haag	10	2	2	6	-16	8
17	Willem II	10	0	3	7	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.