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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hamilton
U T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 9
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 25 2 2 +65 77
2 Rangers 28 20 4 4 +44 64
3 Motherwell 29 14 3 12 +3 45
4 Aberdeen 29 11 9 9 +2 42
5 Livingston 30 10 9 11 +2 39
6 Hibernian 29 9 10 10 -5 37
7 ST Johnstone 29 8 12 9 -18 36
8 Kilmarnock 29 9 6 14 -9 33
9 Ross County 29 7 8 14 -30 29
10 St Mirren 28 6 8 14 -13 26
11 Hamilton 29 5 9 15 -21 24
12 Hearts 28 4 10 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -19 Kilmarnock – Hamilton 2–2 10. Aug -19 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Hamilton Kilmarnock
Shaun Want 🟨
14′
M. Miller 🔁
↦ J. Hamilton
21′
W. Collar 🔁
↦ B. Alston
41′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🟨 Kirk Broadfoot
D. Templeton 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
64′
Mikel Miller 🟨
67′
Lewis Smith 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ R. McKenzie
73′
🔁 N. Hamalainen
↦ S. Hendrie
Mikel Miller 🟨
78′
Mikel Miller 🟥
78′
86′
🔁 K. Connell
↦ E. Brophy
88′
🟨 Stephen O'Donnell
1–0 M. Ogboe ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-1-3-2
31 L. Southwood G
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
21 S. Want D
40 J. Hamilton D
10 B. Alston M
25 S. Martin M
28 L. Smith M
20 D. Moyo F
99 M. Ogboe F
Bench (7)
11 M. Miller
7 W. Collar
16 D. Templeton
23 R. Fulton
6 J. Hunt
4 C. McKenna
19 A. Winter

Coach: B. Rice

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
12 L. Brănescu G
19 K. Broadfoot D
3 S. Hendrie D
2 S. O'Donnell D
17 S. Findlay D
29 C. Burke M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker D
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
27 N. Kabamba F
Bench (7)
10 G. Kiltie
14 N. Hamalainen
52 K. Connell
26 D. Del Fabro
24 J. Koprivec
22 R. Millen
33 A. Taylor

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,33
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
2,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,15
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.