Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | +48 | 79 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | +31 | 61 |
| 3 |
Charleroi
|
32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | +30 | 61 |
| 4 |
Antwerp
|
31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | +21 | 56 |
| 5 |
Standard
|
32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | +19 | 55 |
| 6 |
Mechelen
|
32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +9 | 51 |
| 8 |
Anderlecht
|
32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +13 | 48 |
| 9 |
Waregem
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +4 | 43 |
| 10 |
Kortrijk
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |
St Truiden
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 36 |
| 12 |
Eupen
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -23 | 36 |
| 13 | Mouscron | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge
|
32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | -24 | 31 |
| 16 |
Oostende
|
32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | -32 | 23 |
| 17 | Waasland-Beveren | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 |
Beveren
|
28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -38 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Eupen
Cercle Brugge
Waregem
Oostende
Anderlecht
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.