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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Lorient

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 58%

52%

63%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

37%

59%

Both score Ø 45%

41%

48%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 5. · Lorient 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	27	17	3	7	+21	54
2	Troyes	28	16	3	9	+9	51
3	Lens	27	14	8	5	+14	50
4	Clermont	28	14	8	6	+10	50
5	Ajaccio	27	14	7	6	+15	49
6	Le Havre	28	11	11	6	+13	44
7	Valenciennes	28	11	9	8	+4	42
8	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	+7	39
9	Grenoble	28	7	14	7	-2	35
10	Chambly	28	9	8	11	-6	35
11	Auxerre	28	8	10	10	+1	34
12	Nancy	28	6	16	6	+1	34
13	Caen	28	8	10	10	-1	34
14	Sochaux	28	8	10	10	-2	34
15	Chateauroux	28	9	7	12	-16	34
16	Rodez	28	8	8	12	-3	32
17	Paris FC	28	7	7	14	-18	28
18	Niort	28	6	8	14	-11	26
19	Le Mans	28	7	5	16	-15	26
20	Orleans	27	4	7	16	-21	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	9	1	4	+10	28
2	Lens	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Valenciennes	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Troyes	14	8	1	5	+3	25
5	Clermont	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Nancy	14	6	6	2	+7	24
7	Sochaux	14	6	5	3	+6	23
8	Le Havre	14	5	7	2	+8	22
9	Auxerre	14	5	7	2	+7	22
10	Guingamp	14	5	6	3	+6	21
11	Rodez	14	6	3	5	+4	21
12	Ajaccio	13	5	4	4	+4	19
13	Le Mans	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Niort	14	4	5	5	+0	17
15	Grenoble	14	3	8	3	+0	17
16	Caen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
17	Chambly	15	4	4	7	-9	16
18	Chateauroux	14	3	4	7	-12	13
19	Paris FC	13	3	2	8	-13	11
20	Orleans	14	2	2	10	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	14	9	3	2	+11	30
2	Lorient	13	8	2	3	+11	26
3	Troyes	14	8	2	4	+6	26
4	Clermont	14	7	5	2	+3	26
5	Lens	14	6	5	3	+5	23
6	Le Havre	14	6	4	4	+5	22
7	Chateauroux	14	6	3	5	-4	21
8	Chambly	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Guingamp	14	5	3	6	+1	18
10	Grenoble	14	4	6	4	-2	18
11	Caen	14	4	5	5	+2	17
12	Paris FC	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Valenciennes	14	4	4	6	-3	16
14	Auxerre	14	3	3	8	-6	12
15	Orleans	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-7	11
17	Sochaux	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Nancy	14	0	10	4	-6	10
19	Niort	14	2	3	9	-11	9
20	Le Mans	14	2	2	10	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.