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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Preston
S T S T T
1–3
Full-time
QPR
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 40%
44%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Preston 5. · QPR 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 36 19 12 5 +27 69
2 Leeds 36 20 8 8 +24 68
3 Fulham 35 18 9 8 +15 63
4 Nott'm Forest 37 16 12 9 +10 60
5 Preston 36 16 8 12 +7 56
6 Bristol City 37 15 10 12 -2 55
7 Millwall 37 13 15 9 +4 54
8 Blackburn 36 14 11 11 +10 53
9 Swansea 34 13 13 8 +6 52
10 Cardiff 35 12 14 9 +0 50
11 Brentford 33 13 9 11 +20 48
12 Sheffield Weds 36 13 9 14 +2 48
13 Derby 36 12 12 12 -3 48
14 QPR 36 13 8 15 -6 47
15 Birmingham 36 12 11 13 -7 47
16 Reading 36 12 9 15 +2 45
17 Huddersfield 36 11 9 16 -11 42
18 Hull 36 11 8 17 -10 41
19 Wigan 36 10 10 16 -12 40
20 Charlton 36 10 9 17 -9 39
21 Stoke 36 11 6 19 -10 39
22 Middlesbrough 36 8 14 14 -11 38
23 Barnsley 36 8 10 18 -18 34
24 Luton 36 10 4 22 -28 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston QPR
1–0 D. Johnson
19′
Paul Gallagher 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Amos
↦ D. Ball
46′
🔁 I. Chair
↦ M. Pugh
56′
🟨 Geoff Cameron
Ben Davies 🟨
61′
61′
G. Hall 1–1
E. Eze
67′
🟨 Geoff Cameron
67′
🟥 Geoff Cameron
J. Stockley 🔁
↦ P. Gallagher
73′
78′
R. Manning 1–2
B. Osayi-Samuel
S. Sinclair 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
81′
R. Ledson 🔁
↦ J. Harrop
81′
83′
🟨 Luke Amos
84′
E. Eze 1–3
B. Osayi-Samuel
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
16 A. Hughes D
21 P. Bauer D
2 D. Fisher D
6 B. Davies D
12 P. Gallagher M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
10 J. Harrop M
24 S. Maguire F
Bench (7)
20 J. Stockley
31 S. Sinclair
18 R. Ledson
15 J. Rafferty
35 D. Nugent
23 P. Huntington
25 C. Ripley

Coach: A. Neil

QPR

4-2-3-1
32 L. Kelly G
5 G. Cameron M
22 Àngel Rangel D
4 G. Hall D
12 D. Ball M
29 Y. Barbet D
7 M. Pugh M
14 R. Manning D
20 B. Osayi-Samuel M
10 E. Eze M
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
8 L. Amos
19 I. Chair
2 T. Kane
17 O. Shodipo
1 J. Lumley
18 A. Oteh
47 J. Clarke

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,46
B ✓
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.