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Premier League
Referee: Paul Tierney
Liverpool
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 59%
93%
25%
Points per game
2,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
68%
61%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

74% Possession 26%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 1. · Bournemouth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 28 26 1 1 +44 79
2 Man City 27 18 3 6 +39 57
3 Leicester 28 15 5 8 +26 50
4 Chelsea 28 13 6 9 +8 45
5 Man United 28 11 9 8 +12 42
6 Wolves 28 10 12 6 +7 42
7 Tottenham 28 11 7 10 +7 40
8 Sheffield United 27 10 10 7 +4 40
9 Burnley 28 11 5 12 -6 38
10 Arsenal 27 8 13 6 +3 37
11 Everton 28 10 7 11 -5 37
12 Crystal Palace 28 9 9 10 -7 36
13 Southampton 28 10 4 14 -16 34
14 Newcastle 28 8 8 12 -17 32
15 Brighton 28 6 10 12 -8 28
16 West Ham 28 7 6 15 -14 27
17 Watford 28 6 9 13 -16 27
18 Bournemouth 28 7 6 15 -17 27
19 Aston Villa 27 7 4 16 -18 25
20 Norwich 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Bournemouth
9′
C. Wilson 0–1
J. Lerma
19′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ S. Cook
1–1 Mohamed Salah
S. Mané
24′
2–1 S. Mané
V. van Dijk
33′
Half-time 2–1
68′
🔁 D. Solanke
↦ J. Stanislas
80′
🔁 D. Gosling
↦ J. Lerma
A. Lallana 🔁
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
84′
90′
🟨 Callum Wilson
D. Origi 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
13 Adrián G
4 V. van Dijk D
12 J. Gomez D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
7 J. Milner D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
3 Fabinho M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
10 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
20 A. Lallana
27 D. Origi
18 T. Minamino
22 A. Lonergan
32 J. Matip
76 N. Williams
8 N. Keïta

Coach: J. Klopp

Bournemouth

4-1-4-1
12 A. Ramsdale G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
17 J. Stacey D
19 J. Stanislas M
24 R. Fraser M
8 J. Lerma M
16 L. Cook M
29 P. Billing M
13 C. Wilson F
Bench (7)
25 J. Simpson
9 D. Solanke
4 D. Gosling
21 Diego Rico
6 A. Surman
1 A. Boruc
44 S. Surridge

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
6,24
B
11,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.