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Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie
T T U S T
4–4
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
36%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Zaglebie 12. · Lechia Gdansk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 25 16 3 6 +29 51
2 Cracovia 26 13 3 10 +10 42
3 Slask Wroclaw 25 11 9 5 +6 42
4 Lech Poznan 25 11 8 6 +20 41
5 Pogon Szczecin 25 11 7 7 +4 40
6 Piast Gliwice 25 12 4 9 +2 40
7 Lechia Gdansk 25 10 7 8 -1 37
8 Wisla Plock 26 10 6 10 -9 36
9 Rakow 25 11 2 12 -5 35
10 Jagiellonia 25 9 7 9 -1 34
11 Gornik Zabrze 26 8 9 9 -2 33
12 Zaglebie 25 9 5 11 +1 32
13 Wisla 25 9 3 13 -5 30
14 Arka Gdynia 26 6 7 13 -15 25
15 Korona Kielce 25 6 5 14 -16 23
16 LKS Lodz 25 5 5 15 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.