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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Arsenal
U U U S S
1–0
Full-time
West Ham
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
54%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
54%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 10. · West Ham 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 29 27 1 1 +45 82
2 Man City 27 18 3 6 +39 57
3 Leicester 28 15 5 8 +26 50
4 Chelsea 28 13 6 9 +8 45
5 Man United 28 11 9 8 +12 42
6 Wolves 28 10 12 6 +7 42
7 Tottenham 28 11 7 10 +7 40
8 Sheffield United 27 10 10 7 +4 40
9 Burnley 28 11 5 12 -6 38
10 Arsenal 27 8 13 6 +3 37
11 Everton 28 10 7 11 -5 37
12 Crystal Palace 28 9 9 10 -7 36
13 Southampton 28 10 4 14 -16 34
14 Newcastle 28 8 8 12 -17 32
15 Brighton 28 6 10 12 -8 28
16 West Ham 28 7 6 15 -14 27
17 Watford 28 6 9 13 -16 27
18 Bournemouth 29 7 6 16 -18 27
19 Aston Villa 27 7 4 16 -18 25
20 Norwich 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal West Ham
9′
🟨 Pablo Fornals
Half-time 0–0
A. Lacazette 🔁
↦ E. Nketiah
59′
Sokratis 🟨
63′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ N. Pépé
69′
1–0 A. Lacazette
M. Özil
78′
81′
🔁 T. Souček
↦ M. Noble
87′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ Pablo Fornals
Bellerín 🔁
↦ M. Özil
89′
90′
🟨 Michail Antonio
90′
🔁 R. Snodgrass
↦ J. Bowen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
23 David Luiz D
5 S. Papastathopoulos D
22 Pablo Marí D
10 M. Özil M
34 G. Xhaka M
8 Dani Ceballos M
77 B. Saka D
14 P. Aubameyang M
19 N. Pépé M
30 E. Nketiah F
Bench (7)
9 A. Lacazette
24 R. Nelson
2 Bellerín
26 E. Martínez
29 M. Guendouzi
28 J. Willock
35 Martinelli

Coach: Mikel Arteta

West Ham

4-4-2
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
30 M. Antonio F
41 D. Rice M
18 Pablo Fornals M
22 S. Haller F
17 J. Bowen M
52 J. Ngakia D
Bench (7)
28 T. Souček
8 Felipe Anderson
11 R. Snodgrass
35 D. Randolph
10 M. Lanzini
5 P. Zabaleta
4 F. Balbuena

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,37
B
5,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.