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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Hearts
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
14%
48%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
54%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 12. · Motherwell 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 25 2 2 +65 77
2 Rangers 28 20 4 4 +44 64
3 Motherwell 29 14 3 12 +3 45
4 Aberdeen 29 11 9 9 +2 42
5 Livingston 30 10 9 11 +2 39
6 Hibernian 29 9 10 10 -5 37
7 ST Johnstone 29 8 12 9 -18 36
8 Kilmarnock 29 9 6 14 -9 33
9 Ross County 29 7 8 14 -30 29
10 St Mirren 28 6 8 14 -13 26
11 Hamilton 29 5 9 15 -21 24
12 Hearts 28 4 10 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Motherwell
18′
🔁 B. Maguire
↦ A. Campbell
21′
C. Long 0–1
J. Walker 🔁
↦ S. Clare
28′
39′
🟨 Barry Maguire
Half-time 0–1
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ O. Bozanić
46′
1–1 C. Washington
S. Naismith
49′
58′
🟨 Rolando Aarons
Clevid Dikamona 🟨
61′
73′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ L. Polworth
78′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
R. Meshino 🔁
↦ L. Moore
80′
Aaron Hickey 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-4-1-1
1 Z. Zlamal G
2 M. Smith D
28 C. Dikamona D
26 C. Halkett D
51 A. Hickey D
7 O. Bozanić M
22 L. Damour M
8 S. Clare M
27 L. Moore M
14 S. Naismith F
9 C. Washington F
Bench (7)
10 J. Walker
29 L. Boyce
77 R. Meshino
32 M. Langer
40 A. Irving
23 Joel Castro
41 E. Henderson

Coach: D. Stendel

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley M
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 L. Grimshaw D
19 L. Polworth M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
9 C. Long F
17 R. Aarons M
Bench (7)
15 B. Maguire
7 D. Turnbull
8 T. Watt
12 C. Manzinga
1 T. Carson
11 S. Seedorf
37 R. MacIver

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
3,52
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.