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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Heerenveen

U S S S S

0–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 3. · Ajax 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+10	15
3	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Zwolle	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	0	3	-1	12
8	Ajax	6	3	1	2	+5	10
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
11	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Twente	7	2	0	5	-1	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Willem II	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Roda	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
13	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Roda	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.