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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Vitesse
S T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
2,3
3,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%
13 Shots 26
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -19 Ajax – Vitesse 4–2 2. Sep -18 Vitesse – Ajax 0–4 4. Mar -18 Vitesse – Ajax 3–2 24. Sep -17 Ajax – Vitesse 1–2 19. Feb -17 Vitesse – Ajax 0–1

Match report

Vitesse Ajax
1–0 M. Bero ⚽
V. Karavaev
13′
Matúš Bero 🟨
23′
30′
⚽ D. van de Beek 1–1
H. Ziyech
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. Bazoer ⚽
M. Clark
55′
J. Grot 🔁
↦ T. Matavž
61′
H. Gong 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
66′
69′
🔁 N. Mazraoui
↦ R. Marin
69′
🔁 Q. Promes
↦ H. Ziyech
71′
🟨 Joel Veltman
73′
🟨 Nicolas Tagliafico
74′
🟨 Daley Blind
75′
⚽ D. Tadić 2–2
D. van de Beek
C. Musonda 🔁
↦ T. Serero
79′
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 David Neres
↦ K. Dolberg
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
85′
Riechedly Bazoer 🟥
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-4-2
22 R. Pasveer G
8 V. Karavaev D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
17 T. Serero M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
14 O. Tannane M
Bench (10)
7 J. Grot
19 H. Gong
27 C. Musonda
18 T. Hajek
1 K. Lamprou
2 J. Lelieveld
23 Mukhtar Ali
25 N. Foor
13 O. Darfalou
29 T. Buitink

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind M
31 N. Tagliafico D
3 J. Veltman D
2 P. Schuurs D
21 L. Martínez D
22 H. Ziyech F
18 R. Marin M
6 D. van de Beek M
10 D. Tadić F
25 K. Dolberg F
Bench (12)
12 N. Mazraoui
11 Q. Promes
7 David Neres
20 L. Schöne
5 K. Pierie
35 K. Scherpen
30 D. de Wit
1 Bruno Varela
28 S. Dest
26 J. Ekkelenkamp
9 K. Huntelaar
16 L. Magallán

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,77
🔒
U ✓
4,63
🔒
B
1,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,46
🔒
U2,5
2,66
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.