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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Vitesse

S U T U U

3–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 25/28 matches

Win Ø 58%

36%

79%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

68%

79%

Both score Ø 59%

72%

46%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

3,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 9. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	2	4	+74	71
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	22	4	2	+65	70
3	Feyenoord	29	16	5	8	+27	53
4	AZ Alkmaar	29	15	7	7	+23	52
5	Heracles	27	14	3	10	+3	45
6	Utrecht	26	11	7	8	+6	40
7	Willem II	29	12	4	13	-8	40
8	Groningen	27	11	5	11	+1	38
9	Vitesse	25	9	9	7	+7	36
10	Heerenveen	29	9	9	11	-7	36
11	Zwolle	29	10	5	14	-7	35
12	Den Haag	29	8	9	12	-12	33
13	VVV Venlo	29	9	6	14	-19	33
14	For Sittard	29	8	6	15	-24	30
15	FC Emmen	29	7	7	15	-34	28
16	De Graafschap	29	7	5	17	-26	26
17	Excelsior	29	7	5	17	-30	26
18	NAC Breda	29	5	6	18	-39	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+46	40
2	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+48	38
3	Feyenoord	14	12	0	2	+27	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+19	30
5	Heracles	14	10	0	4	+14	30
6	Groningen	14	8	1	5	+7	25
7	Vitesse	12	6	5	1	+7	23
8	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
9	For Sittard	14	6	4	4	+6	22
10	VVV Venlo	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
13	De Graafschap	15	5	3	7	-1	18
14	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
15	Willem II	14	5	2	7	-5	17
16	NAC Breda	14	4	4	6	-8	16
17	Heerenveen	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	FC Emmen	15	3	5	7	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	0	4	+26	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+2	22
6	Utrecht	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Feyenoord	15	4	5	6	+0	17
8	Zwolle	14	5	2	7	-8	17
9	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-11	15
10	Den Haag	14	3	5	6	-7	14
11	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-23	14
12	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
13	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-18	12
15	Excelsior	14	2	2	10	-19	8
16	De Graafschap	14	2	2	10	-25	8
17	For Sittard	15	2	2	11	-30	8
18	NAC Breda	15	1	2	12	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.