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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Heracles

T T T T U

0–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

3,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 15. · PSV Eindhoven 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Vitesse	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Feyenoord	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Waalwijk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Twente	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.