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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
4,0
1,7
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,8
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
90%
44%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
44%
Average goals
4,2
2,4
Scored
3,8
1,2
Conceded
0,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Vitesse 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 +34 30
2 Ajax 10 8 1 1 +24 25
3 Feyenoord 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Heracles 10 6 2 2 +4 20
5 VVV Venlo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 -1 15
7 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 -1 13
8 AZ Alkmaar 10 3 3 4 +2 12
9 Vitesse 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Excelsior 11 3 3 5 -7 12
11 Den Haag 10 3 3 4 -7 12
12 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 -5 11
13 Willem II 10 2 4 4 -2 10
14 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 -3 10
15 De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 -10 10
16 FC Emmen 10 2 3 5 -14 9
17 Groningen 10 2 1 7 -9 7
18 NAC Breda 10 1 2 7 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
14′
🟥 Danilho Doekhi
15′
🟨 Bryan Linssen
18′
🔁 R. Thelander
↦ N. Foor
Steven Bergwijn 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🟨 Martin Ødegaard
1–0 L. de Jong
H. Lozano
69′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
84′
84′
🔁 H. Gong
↦ T. Serero
Denzel Dumfries 🟨
86′
92′
🔁 A. Büttner
↦ M. Clark
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
14 D. Malen
23 B. Ramselaar
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
3 A. Behich
13 E. Room
15 A. Obispo
19 C. Gakpo
20 T. Sainsbury
25 É. Gutiérrez
31 Y. van Osch
47 Mauro Júnior

Coach: M. van Bommel

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
18 M. Ødegaard F
11 B. Linssen F
13 O. Darfalou F
Bench (8)
26 R. Thelander
19 H. Gong
28 A. Büttner
2 K. Karami
10 T. Bruns
22 R. Pasveer
23 M. Ali
29 T. Buitink

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.