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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Marseille

U T S U S

2–2

Full-time

Bordeaux

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%

10 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 7. · Bordeaux 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rennes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Lille	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.