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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Lorient
S T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Monaco
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
2 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 12. · Monaco 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
6 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lorient 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,21
U
3,52
B
1,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.