Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Monaco
Marseille
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +37 | 45 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | +20 | 42 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | +20 | 40 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +10 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +8 | 36 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 31 |
| 8 |
Angers
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 30 |
| 9 |
Bordeaux
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Metz
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 |
Brest
|
20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |
Nice
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Strasbourg
|
20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 |
Reims
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 19 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 18 |
Nimes
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -25 | 15 |
| 19 |
Dijon
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -14 | 14 |
| 20 |
Lorient
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Lecomte
G
D. Sidibé
D
R. Aguilar
M
B. Badiashile
D
Caio Henrique
D
A. Tchouaméni
M
Y. Fofana
M
S. Diop
M
Coach: N. Kovač
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
L. Balerdi
M
M. Cuisance
M
P. Gueye
M
F. Thauvin
M
Coach: André Villas-Boas
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Montpellier
Monaco
Monaco
Angers
Lorient
Monaco
Monaco
St Etienne
Dijon
Monaco
F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.