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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Marseille

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Monaco

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/13 matches

Win Ø 59%

64%

54%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

27%

77%

Both score Ø 62%

55%

69%

Average goals

2,4

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

5 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

22 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 4. · Monaco 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	1	3	+24	28
2	Lille	13	7	5	1	+15	26
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+13	26
4	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
5	Monaco	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	Montpellier	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Angers	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Lens	12	6	3	3	+1	21
9	Rennes	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Nice	12	5	3	4	+1	18
12	Brest	13	6	0	7	-3	18
13	Metz	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-8	13
15	St Etienne	14	3	4	7	-8	13
16	Nimes	13	3	2	8	-13	11
17	Strasbourg	13	3	1	9	-6	10
18	Reims	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Lorient	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Dijon	13	1	5	7	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+12	13
5	Bordeaux	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Brest	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Montpellier	7	4	0	3	+0	12
8	Lens	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Angers	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Nantes	6	2	2	2	-4	8
15	Nice	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Dijon	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Reims	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Nimes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
4	Lyon	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Nice	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Lille	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Nimes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Strasbourg	7	2	0	5	+0	6
13	Reims	7	1	3	3	-1	6
14	Metz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Monaco	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Brest	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Lorient	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.