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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Marseille

S S U T U

1–1

Full-time

Monaco

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 32%

47%

17%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

47%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 9. · Monaco 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+43	50
2	Lille	20	11	4	5	+12	37
3	Lyon	19	9	6	4	+9	33
4	St Etienne	19	9	6	4	+7	33
5	Montpellier	19	8	7	4	+10	31
6	Strasbourg	20	7	8	5	+8	29
7	Rennes	19	8	5	6	+3	29
8	Nice	19	8	5	6	-3	29
9	Marseille	17	8	3	6	+4	27
10	Reims	20	6	9	5	-3	27
11	Nantes	19	6	5	8	+0	23
12	Nimes	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Bordeaux	18	5	7	6	-1	22
14	Toulouse	19	5	6	8	-11	21
15	Angers	18	4	8	6	-2	20
16	Caen	20	3	9	8	-8	18
17	Amiens	20	5	3	12	-17	18
18	Dijon	19	4	5	10	-15	17
19	Monaco	18	3	4	11	-13	13
20	Guingamp	19	2	5	12	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	9	0	0	+25	27
2	St Etienne	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Lille	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+11	17
6	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Strasbourg	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Bordeaux	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Reims	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
11	Rennes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Nice	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Caen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
16	Nimes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
17	Toulouse	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Dijon	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Guingamp	9	0	3	6	-9	3
20	Monaco	9	0	3	6	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lille	10	5	1	4	+1	16
3	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+1	15
5	Nice	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Nimes	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Strasbourg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
11	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Monaco	9	3	1	5	-3	10
13	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Marseille	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
17	Nantes	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Guingamp	10	2	2	6	-12	8
19	Amiens	10	2	2	6	-12	8
20	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.