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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Lorient

U T S T U

0–2

Full-time

Nantes

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 24%

22%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

56%

75%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 16. · Nantes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+23	24
2	Lille	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+4	18
5	Nice	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Montpellier	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Lyon	9	3	5	1	+6	14
8	Metz	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
11	Angers	9	4	1	4	-9	13
12	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Brest	10	4	0	6	-7	12
14	St Etienne	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Reims	9	2	2	5	-2	8
16	Lorient	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Nimes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Strasbourg	10	2	0	8	-9	6
20	Dijon	9	0	3	6	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Lille	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Brest	5	3	0	2	-1	9
10	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
11	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Nice	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Angers	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Reims	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Lille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Metz	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Monaco	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.