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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Lorient

U T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Nice

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 31%

25%

36%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

2 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 17. · Nice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	28	18	8	2	+32	62
2	Paris SG	28	19	3	6	+45	60
3	Lyon	29	17	9	3	+31	60
4	Monaco	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Marseille	29	12	9	8	+5	45
6	Lens	28	12	8	8	+3	44
7	Metz	28	11	8	9	+6	41
8	Montpellier	29	11	8	10	-3	41
9	Angers	29	11	6	12	-10	39
10	Rennes	28	10	8	10	+1	38
11	Reims	29	8	11	10	-1	35
12	Nice	28	10	5	13	-5	35
13	Brest	29	10	4	15	-10	34
14	Strasbourg	28	9	6	13	-5	33
15	Bordeaux	28	9	6	13	-6	33
16	St Etienne	29	8	9	12	-12	33
17	Lorient	28	7	6	15	-18	27
18	Nimes	29	7	5	17	-27	26
19	Nantes	28	4	12	12	-16	24
20	Dijon	28	2	9	17	-28	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	9	5	1	+16	32
2	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
3	Monaco	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Lyon	14	9	3	2	+17	30
5	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Brest	14	8	1	5	+4	25
7	Montpellier	15	6	2	7	-2	20
8	Metz	14	5	4	5	+2	19
9	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Lorient	14	6	1	7	-5	19
12	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
13	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
14	Angers	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	Strasbourg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
16	St Etienne	14	3	6	5	-7	15
17	Nice	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Nantes	14	2	7	5	-8	13
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	14	0	6	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	15	8	6	1	+14	30
3	Paris SG	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Lens	15	7	4	4	+2	25
5	Monaco	14	8	0	6	+3	24
6	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Angers	15	6	4	5	-5	22
8	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
9	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	-1	21
10	Rennes	14	5	5	4	+4	20
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	Reims	15	4	5	6	+0	17
14	Strasbourg	14	5	2	7	-3	17
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-15	14
17	Nantes	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
19	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.