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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Lille
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Nantes
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 11
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Mar -19 Nantes – Lille 2–3 22. Sep -18 Lille – Nantes 2–1 11. Feb -18 Nantes – Lille 2–2 6. Aug -17 Lille – Nantes 3–0 20. May -17 Lille – Nantes 3–0

Match report

Lille Nantes
15′
🔁 S. Moutoussamy
↦ M. Coco
1–0 V. Osimhen ⚽
José Fonte
19′
43′
🟨 Fábio
45′
🟨 Charles Traoré
Half-time 1–0
Jonathan Bamba 🟨
49′
51′
⚽ M. Çelik 2–0
own goal
Thiago Maia 🔁
↦ B. Soumaré
56′
Timothy Weah 🟨
65′
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ T. Weah
68′
77′
🟨 Molla Wagué
3–0 V. Osimhen ⚽
M. Çelik
80′
Reinildo 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
87′
87′
🔁 K. Bamba
↦ C. Traoré
90′
🟨 Nicolas Pallois
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
17 M. Çelik D
2 Tiago Djaló D
29 D. Bradarić D
21 B. André M
10 J. Ikoné M
24 B. Soumaré M
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
22 T. Weah M
Bench (7)
20 Thiago Maia
12 Y. Yazıcı
28 Reinildo
1 Léo Jardim
26 J. Pied
34 A. Ouattara
33 C. Niasse

Coach: C. Galtier

Nantes

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
6 Lucas Lima F
4 N. Pallois D
13 M. Wagué D
14 C. Traoré D
20 Andrei Girotto M
19 A. Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
8 M. Coco F
7 K. Coulibaly F
Bench (7)
18 S. Moutoussamy
32 K. Bamba
26 I. Louza
16 A. Olliero
12 D. Appiah
24 E. Youan
25 J. Homawoo

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B
4,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,35
🔒
U2,5
1,58
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.