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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Nott'm Forest

S U S T T

2–3

Full-time

Bournemouth

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,3

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 10%

20%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

0,4

Conceded

2,2

3,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 16. · Bournemouth 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Man City	5	4	1	0	+14	13
3	Tottenham	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	+9	9
6	Man United	5	3	0	2	-2	9
7	Leeds	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Fulham	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Brentford	5	1	3	1	+3	6
12	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Everton	6	0	4	2	-2	4
15	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Bournemouth	5	1	1	3	-14	4
18	Wolves	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Aston Villa	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Leicester	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+10	7
4	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	West Ham	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Man United	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Tottenham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Aston Villa	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.