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Serie A
Referee: F Pasqua
Inter
S T U S U
4–0
Full-time
Benevento
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
63%
32%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
68%
53%
Both score Ø 66%
74%
58%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 0
8 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 2. · Benevento 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 20 14 4 2 +18 46
2 Inter 19 12 5 2 +22 41
3 Juventus 19 11 6 2 +21 39
4 Roma 19 11 4 4 +9 37
5 Atalanta 19 10 6 3 +21 36
6 Napoli 18 11 1 6 +22 34
7 Lazio 19 10 4 5 +6 34
8 Verona 19 8 6 5 +7 30
9 Sassuolo 19 8 6 5 +3 30
10 Sampdoria 20 8 2 10 -1 26
11 Fiorentina 20 5 7 8 -10 22
12 Benevento 19 6 4 9 -13 22
13 Bologna 20 5 5 10 -10 20
14 Udinese 19 4 6 9 -8 18
15 Spezia 19 4 6 9 -10 18
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 -11 18
17 Torino 20 2 9 9 -9 15
18 Cagliari 19 3 5 11 -14 14
19 Parma 19 2 7 10 -22 13
20 Crotone 19 3 3 13 -21 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Benevento
0–1 R. Improta
own goal
7′
28′
🟨 Luca Caldirola
32′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Martínez
57′
60′
🔁 P. Schiattarella
↦ N. Viola
60′
🔁 C. Pastina
↦ L. Caldirola
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ N. Barella
64′
2–1 R. Lukaku
L. Martínez
67′
70′
🔁 D. Foulon
↦ R. Improta
70′
🔁 A. Tello
↦ A. Ioniţă
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
74′
S. de Vrij 🔁
↦ M. Škriniar
74′
76′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ G. Caprari
3–1 R. Lukaku
A. Sánchez
78′
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ R. Gagliardini
80′
A. Pinamonti 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
81′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
13 A. Ranocchia D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
24 C. Eriksen M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
22 A. Vidal
7 A. Sánchez
6 S. de Vrij
12 S. Sensi
99 A. Pinamonti
15 A. Young
77 M. Brozović
36 M. Darmian
11 A. Kolarov
97 I. Radu
27 D. Padelli

Coach: A. Conte

Benevento

5-3-2
1 L. Montipò G
15 K. Glik D
5 L. Caldirola D
93 F. Barba D
27 F. Depaoli D
56 P. Hetemaj M
29 A. Ioniţă M
10 N. Viola M
9 G. Lapadula F
17 G. Caprari F
16 R. Improta D
Bench (12)
28 P. Schiattarella
58 C. Pastina
18 D. Foulon
8 A. Tello
19 R. Insigne
12 N. Manfredini
14 B. Dabo
20 G. Di Serio
6 A. Basit
44 Iago Falqué
22 I. Lucatelli
30 D. Masella

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
6,34
B
11,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Pasqua · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.