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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Blackburn
U T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Luton
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Luton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
56%
28%
Both score Ø 42%
52%
32%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 10. · Luton 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 26 16 6 4 +14 54
2 Watford 26 13 8 5 +12 47
3 Reading 26 14 5 7 +11 47
4 Bournemouth 25 11 9 5 +16 42
5 Brentford 22 11 8 3 +15 41
6 Swansea 22 11 7 4 +12 40
7 Middlesbrough 27 11 7 9 +6 40
8 Bristol City 25 12 3 10 +0 39
9 Stoke 26 9 10 7 +3 37
10 Blackburn 25 10 6 9 +12 36
11 Preston 26 11 3 12 -2 36
12 Barnsley 24 10 5 9 -1 35
13 Luton 25 9 6 10 -6 33
14 Huddersfield 26 9 4 13 -8 31
15 Cardiff 25 8 6 11 +2 30
16 Millwall 25 6 12 7 -3 30
17 Coventry 25 7 8 10 -10 29
18 QPR 25 6 9 10 -8 27
19 Birmingham 25 6 8 11 -12 26
20 Nott'm Forest 25 6 7 12 -9 25
21 Derby 25 6 7 12 -9 25
22 Sheffield Weds 24 6 7 11 -10 25
23 Rotherham 23 6 5 12 -6 23
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Luton
Half-time 0–0
Lewis Travis 🟨
50′
S. Gallagher 🔁
↦ B. Brereton
61′
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ S. Downing
61′
B. Dack 🔁
↦ H. Elliott
61′
T. Dolan 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
61′
63′
🟨 Glen Rea
64′
🔁 D. Hylton
↦ J. Collins
72′
🔁 M. Cranie
↦ M. Pearson
1–0 A. Armstrong
S. Gallagher
85′
88′
🔁 K. Naismith
↦ J. Clark
88′
🔁 S. Nombe
↦ G. Rea
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
30 J. Branthwaite D
6 S. Downing M
8 J. Rothwell M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
9 S. Gallagher
10 L. Holtby
23 B. Dack
39 T. Dolan
21 J. Buckley
29 C. Evans
13 A. Pears
31 E. Bennett
38 T. Magloire

Coach: T. Mowbray

Luton

4-1-4-1
12 S. Sluga G
5 S. Bradley D
3 D. Potts D
15 T. Lockyer D
6 M. Pearson D
16 G. Rea M
18 J. Clark M
17 P. Ruddock M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
19 J. Collins F
7 H. Cornick M
Bench (9)
9 D. Hylton
2 M. Cranie
24 K. Naismith
27 S. Nombe
28 J. Morrell
8 L. Berry
14 G. Moncur
25 K. LuaLua
1 J. Shea

Coach: N. Jones

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,46
B
4,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.