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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Eupen
S S T T U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 27/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
46%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Corners 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 11. · Royal Excel Mouscron 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 25 15 5 5 +16 50
2 Club Brugge 22 14 4 4 +29 46
3 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 12 7 8 +4 43
5 Waregem 28 13 3 12 +1 42
6 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +4 41
7 Anderlecht 25 8 13 4 +11 37
8 Beerschot VA 26 11 4 11 -4 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
10 Charleroi 26 10 5 11 +0 35
11 Eupen 27 8 11 8 -8 35
12 Gent 24 10 4 10 +9 34
13 Kortrijk 26 9 6 11 -5 33
14 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
15 St Truiden 27 7 7 13 -10 28
16 Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -11 26
17 Cercle Brugge 26 8 1 17 -10 25
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -11 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21
20 Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron
30′
🟨 Christophe Lepoint
0–1 I. Faraj
own goal
32′
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Alessandro Ciranni
55′
🔁 J. Onana
↦ C. Lepoint
55′
🔁 H. Harbaoui
↦ F. Olinga
A. Boljević 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
65′
68′
M. Silvestre 0–2
A. Ciranni
77′
🔁 B. Badibanga
↦ S. Tabekou
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ A. Baby
78′
89′
🔁 M. Bakić
↦ D. Hočko
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eupen

4-4-2
31 T. Defourny G
21 Adriano D
28 J. Heris D
23 S. Miangué M
22 E. Agbadou D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
11 A. Baby M
9 S. Prevljak F
34 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
18 A. Boljević
7 J. Ngoy
4 R. Bushiri
32 A. Beck
77 M. Koné
15 G. Magnée
1 O. De Wolf

Coach: Beñat San José

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
54 C. Lepoint M
6 D. Hočko M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
20 Nuno da Costa F
70 S. Tabekou M
14 I. Faraj F
Bench (7)
8 J. Onana
9 H. Harbaoui
29 B. Badibanga
10 M. Bakić
31 H. Gnohéré
21 N. Gillekens
11 D. Mohamed

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.