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LaLiga2

Almeria

S S T S U

3–1

Full-time

Castellon

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

62%

27%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

36%

Both score Ø 47%

48%

45%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 1

11 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Castellon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	23	14	6	3	+21	48
2	Espanol	22	14	3	5	+21	45
3	Almeria	21	13	3	5	+13	42
4	Vallecano	22	11	4	7	+7	37
5	Sp Gijon	22	10	6	6	+4	36
6	Leganes	21	10	4	7	+4	34
7	Ponferradina	23	10	4	9	-2	34
8	Girona	23	9	6	8	-1	33
9	Las Palmas	22	8	8	6	-2	32
10	Lugo	22	8	7	7	+2	31
11	Malaga	23	8	7	8	-8	31
12	Mirandes	22	8	6	8	+2	30
13	Oviedo	23	6	10	7	+2	28
14	Fuenlabrada	22	6	10	6	-1	28
15	Logrones	22	8	4	10	-8	28
16	Tenerife	22	7	5	10	-3	26
17	Albacete	23	6	6	11	-11	24
18	Castellon	22	6	4	12	-8	22
19	Sabadell	22	5	6	11	-7	21
20	Zaragoza	23	5	6	12	-7	21
21	Alcorcon	23	5	6	12	-8	21
22	Cartagena	22	5	5	12	-10	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	11	9	1	1	+15	28
2	Vallecano	11	8	1	2	+10	25
3	Sp Gijon	11	7	4	0	+9	25
4	Leganes	10	8	0	2	+8	24
5	Mallorca	12	7	2	3	+12	23
6	Las Palmas	11	7	2	2	+5	23
7	Almeria	11	6	3	2	+9	21
8	Lugo	11	6	3	2	+6	21
9	Zaragoza	12	5	4	3	+3	19
10	Tenerife	11	5	3	3	+6	18
11	Girona	11	5	3	3	+3	18
12	Ponferradina	11	5	3	3	+1	18
13	Logrones	11	5	2	4	+0	17
14	Castellon	11	5	0	6	+2	15
15	Oviedo	12	3	5	4	+2	14
16	Mirandes	11	3	5	3	+0	14
17	Fuenlabrada	11	2	7	2	+0	13
18	Albacete	11	3	4	4	-2	13
19	Alcorcon	12	4	1	7	-5	13
20	Cartagena	11	3	2	6	-2	11
21	Malaga	11	2	5	4	-5	11
22	Sabadell	11	2	3	6	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	11	7	4	0	+9	25
2	Almeria	10	7	0	3	+4	21
3	Malaga	12	6	2	4	-3	20
4	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+6	17
5	Mirandes	11	5	1	5	+2	16
6	Ponferradina	12	5	1	6	-3	16
7	Fuenlabrada	11	4	3	4	-1	15
8	Girona	12	4	3	5	-4	15
9	Oviedo	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Sabadell	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Sp Gijon	11	3	2	6	-5	11
13	Logrones	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Albacete	12	3	2	7	-9	11
15	Lugo	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Leganes	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Las Palmas	11	1	6	4	-7	9
18	Cartagena	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Alcorcon	11	1	5	5	-3	8
20	Tenerife	11	2	2	7	-9	8
21	Castellon	11	1	4	6	-10	7
22	Zaragoza	11	0	2	9	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.