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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Inter
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Juventus
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — Serie A · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 61%
65%
56%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
76%
63%
Both score Ø 79%
82%
75%
Average goals
3,9
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 2. · Juventus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 17 12 4 1 +18 40
2 Inter 17 11 4 2 +20 37
3 Napoli 17 11 1 5 +24 34
4 Roma 18 10 4 4 +8 34
5 Juventus 16 9 6 1 +19 33
6 Atalanta 17 9 5 3 +18 32
7 Lazio 18 9 4 5 +5 31
8 Sassuolo 18 8 6 4 +4 30
9 Verona 18 7 6 5 +5 27
10 Sampdoria 18 7 2 9 -1 23
11 Benevento 18 6 3 9 -13 21
12 Bologna 18 5 5 8 -7 20
13 Spezia 18 4 6 8 -9 18
14 Fiorentina 18 4 6 8 -11 18
15 Udinese 17 4 4 9 -8 16
16 Genoa 18 3 6 9 -12 15
17 Cagliari 17 3 5 9 -11 14
18 Torino 18 2 7 9 -9 13
19 Parma 18 2 7 9 -20 13
20 Crotone 18 3 3 12 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Juventus
1–0 A. Vidal
N. Barella
12′
36′
🟨 Leonardo Bonucci
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Barella
A. Bastoni
52′
58′
🔁 F. Bernardeschi
↦ G. Frabotta
58′
🔁 W. McKennie
↦ A. Rabiot
58′
🔁 D. Kulusevski
↦ A. Ramsey
Ashley Young 🟨
59′
62′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
Nicolò Barella 🟨
67′
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ A. Young
72′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ A. Vidal
77′
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
15 A. Young M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
22 A. Vidal M
77 M. Brozović M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
36 M. Darmian
5 R. Gagliardini
7 A. Sánchez
14 I. Perišić
97 I. Radu
99 A. Pinamonti
24 C. Eriksen
12 S. Sensi
27 D. Padelli
11 A. Kolarov
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: A. Conte

Juventus

4-4-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
13 Danilo D
38 G. Frabotta D
8 A. Ramsey M
25 A. Rabiot M
30 R. Bentancur M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 Morata F
22 F. Chiesa M
Bench (12)
33 F. Bernardeschi
14 W. McKennie
44 D. Kulusevski
41 N. Fagioli
5 Arthur
56 F. Ranocchia
28 M. Demiral
31 C. Pinsoglio
37 R. Drăgușin
77 G. Buffon
36 A. Di Pardo
42 G. Garofani

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,50
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.