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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
St. Gallen
U U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Zurich
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
1,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Zurich 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 15 9 5 1 +12 32
2 Basel 16 8 2 6 +2 26
3 Lugano 15 5 8 2 +2 23
4 St. Gallen 15 6 5 4 +2 23
5 Zurich 16 6 4 6 +5 22
6 Lausanne 15 5 4 6 +0 19
7 Servette 14 5 4 5 -1 19
8 Sion 16 3 7 6 -6 16
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 16 2 5 9 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.