Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Holstein Kiel
Braunschweig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hamburg
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +19 | 37 |
| 2 |
Bochum
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |
Greuther Furth
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +14 | 35 |
| 4 |
Holstein Kiel
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +11 | 33 |
| 5 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
Karlsruhe
|
18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 29 |
| 7 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 28 |
| 8 |
Hannover
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 9 |
Paderborn
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 26 |
| 10 |
Heidenheim
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 26 |
| 11 |
Regensburg
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 |
Osnabruck
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 |
Darmstadt
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 |
Nurnberg
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 |
Braunschweig
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 17 |
| 16 |
St Pauli
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 |
Sandhausen
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 15 |
| 18 |
Wurzburger Kickers
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Paderborn
Holstein Kiel
Darmstadt
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruhe
St Pauli
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Osnabruck
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.