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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Hartberg
T U S U T
0–3
Full-time
Salzburg
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 46%
21%
71%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
2,9
4,2
Scored
1,1
3,1
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 10
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 9. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 10 1 3 +29 31
2 SK Rapid 14 9 3 2 +13 30
3 Sturm Graz 14 8 4 2 +15 28
4 LASK 14 8 3 3 +15 27
5 Tirol 14 7 2 5 +5 23
6 Wolfsberger AC 14 5 3 6 -5 18
7 Austria Vienna 14 4 5 5 -1 17
8 St. Polten 14 4 4 6 -1 16
9 Hartberg 14 3 6 5 -10 15
10 Ried 14 4 1 9 -15 13
11 Altach 14 2 2 10 -20 8
12 Admira 14 2 2 10 -25 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Salzburg
14′
S. Koïta 0–1
Bakary Nimaga 🟨
17′
24′
🟨 Sekou Koita
35′
P. Daka 0–2
S. Koïta
Half-time 0–2
M. Schmerböck 🔁
↦ S. Horvath
66′
L. Ried 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
66′
71′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ S. Koïta
71′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ L. Sučić
S. Tijani 🔁
↦ B. Nimaga
74′
D. Tadić 🔁
↦ S. Chabbi
74′
79′
E. Mwepu 0–3
P. Daka
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ R. Rep
85′
87′
🔁 P. Farkas
↦ A. Ulmer
87′
🔁 D. Affengruber
↦ M. Camara
87′
🔁 B. Šeško
↦ P. Daka
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Swete G
14 C. Klem D
5 M. Gollner D
23 T. Kainz D
32 F. Luckeneder D
29 S. Horvath M
42 B. Nimaga M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
28 J. Heil M
9 R. Rep M
45 S. Chabbi F
Bench (7)
20 M. Schmerböck
27 L. Ried
8 S. Tijani
24 D. Tadić
11 M. Horvat
31 T. Rotter
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
5 A. Vallci D
43 R. Kristensen D
28 A. Bernède M
45 E. Mwepu M
19 M. Camara M
21 L. Sučić M
20 P. Daka F
7 S. Koïta F
Bench (7)
27 K. Adeyemi
11 B. Aaronson
25 P. Farkas
42 D. Affengruber
30 B. Šeško
16 Z. Junuzović
31 Carlos Miguel

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.