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Serie A

Referee: S Sozza

Crotone

T S T T T

4–1

Full-time

Benevento

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

12%

35%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

65%

47%

Both score Ø 59%

65%

53%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 13

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Crotone 20. · Benevento 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	17	12	4	1	+18	40
2	Inter	17	11	4	2	+20	37
3	Napoli	17	11	1	5	+24	34
4	Roma	18	10	4	4	+8	34
5	Juventus	16	9	6	1	+19	33
6	Atalanta	16	9	4	3	+18	31
7	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+5	31
8	Sassuolo	17	8	5	4	+4	29
9	Verona	18	7	6	5	+5	27
10	Sampdoria	18	7	2	9	-1	23
11	Benevento	17	6	3	8	-10	21
12	Bologna	18	5	5	8	-7	20
13	Spezia	18	4	6	8	-9	18
14	Fiorentina	18	4	6	8	-11	18
15	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-8	16
16	Cagliari	17	3	5	9	-11	14
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	-12	14
18	Torino	18	2	7	9	-9	13
19	Parma	17	2	6	9	-20	12
20	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Inter	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Milan	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Napoli	9	5	1	3	+15	16
6	Atalanta	8	5	1	2	+12	16
7	Verona	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Sampdoria	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Fiorentina	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Sassuolo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Genoa	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Cagliari	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Benevento	9	2	2	5	-9	8
16	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Crotone	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Parma	9	1	4	4	-10	7
19	Spezia	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Torino	9	0	5	4	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	8	7	1	0	+10	22
2	Inter	9	5	3	1	+10	18
3	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+9	18
4	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Sassuolo	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Juventus	8	4	4	0	+11	16
7	Atalanta	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Verona	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Benevento	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Roma	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	Spezia	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Sampdoria	9	3	1	5	-4	10
13	Udinese	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Torino	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	Bologna	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Genoa	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Parma	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Crotone	9	0	2	7	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.