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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Montpellier

T T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Lens

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

67%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

52%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 11. · Lens 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	22	13	7	2	+26	46
2	Paris SG	21	14	3	4	+37	45
3	Lille	21	13	6	2	+21	45
4	Monaco	21	12	3	6	+12	39
5	Rennes	21	10	6	5	+7	36
6	Marseille	20	9	5	6	+5	32
7	Bordeaux	22	9	5	8	+2	32
8	Metz	21	8	7	6	+5	31
9	Lens	21	9	4	8	+0	31
10	Angers	21	9	3	9	-7	30
11	Montpellier	21	8	4	9	-6	28
12	Nice	20	7	5	8	-5	26
13	Brest	21	8	2	11	-6	26
14	Reims	21	6	6	9	-2	24
15	Strasbourg	21	7	3	11	-3	24
16	St Etienne	21	4	7	10	-15	19
17	Nantes	21	3	9	9	-14	18
18	Dijon	21	2	9	10	-15	15
19	Lorient	20	4	3	13	-17	15
20	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	1	2	+24	25
2	Lyon	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	Lille	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Monaco	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Metz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Rennes	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Lens	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Reims	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
14	Nantes	10	2	6	2	-4	12
15	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Lorient	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-7	10
18	Nice	10	2	2	6	-11	8
19	Dijon	11	0	6	5	-7	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
4	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Nice	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+2	17
7	Lens	11	5	2	4	+0	17
8	Angers	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	-2	15
11	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	11	4	1	6	-1	13
14	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
15	Reims	11	2	4	5	-1	10
16	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Brest	11	2	1	8	-10	7
19	Nantes	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.