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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Udinese
T U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Inter
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
22%
67%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
72%
Both score Ø 70%
61%
78%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 15. · Inter 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 18 13 4 1 +20 43
2 Inter 18 12 4 2 +22 40
3 Roma 19 11 4 4 +9 37
4 Napoli 17 11 1 5 +24 34
5 Atalanta 18 9 6 3 +18 33
6 Juventus 17 9 6 2 +17 33
7 Lazio 18 9 4 5 +5 31
8 Sassuolo 18 8 6 4 +4 30
9 Verona 18 7 6 5 +5 27
10 Sampdoria 18 7 2 9 -1 23
11 Benevento 19 6 4 9 -13 22
12 Bologna 18 5 5 8 -7 20
13 Spezia 19 4 6 9 -10 18
14 Fiorentina 18 4 6 8 -11 18
15 Udinese 18 4 5 9 -8 17
16 Genoa 18 3 6 9 -12 15
17 Torino 19 2 8 9 -9 14
18 Cagliari 18 3 5 10 -13 14
19 Parma 18 2 7 9 -20 13
20 Crotone 18 3 3 12 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Inter
Tolgay Arslan 🟨
10′
Walace 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
33′
Samir 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
R. Mandragora 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
62′
S. De Maio 🔁
↦ K. Bonifazi
63′
66′
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
70′
🔁 I. Perišić
↦ A. Young
70′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ A. Vidal
70′
🔁 A. Sánchez
↦ L. Martínez
Marvin Zeegelaar 🟨
78′
N. Molina 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
78′
B. Nuytinck 🔁
↦ M. Zeegelaar
78′
83′
🟨 Stefano Sensi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
90 M. Zeegelaar M
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
3 Samir D
14 K. Bonifazi D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
37 R. Pereyra M
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
9 Deulofeu F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (11)
11 Walace
38 R. Mandragora
87 S. De Maio
16 N. Molina
17 B. Nuytinck
96 S. Scuffet
5 T. Ouwejan
31 M. Gasparini
29 P. Mićin
30 I. Nestorovski
6 J. Makengo

Coach: L. Gotti

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
15 A. Young M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
22 A. Vidal M
77 M. Brozović M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
14 I. Perišić
12 S. Sensi
7 A. Sánchez
11 A. Kolarov
36 M. Darmian
24 C. Eriksen
99 A. Pinamonti
13 A. Ranocchia
97 I. Radu
5 R. Gagliardini
27 D. Padelli

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,77
U ✓
4,00
B
1,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.