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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Real Madrid
S U S U S
1–2
Full-time
Levante
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
63%
26%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 64%
53%
74%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Levante 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 18 15 2 1 +28 47
2 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +18 40
3 Sevilla 20 12 3 5 +12 39
4 Barcelona 19 11 4 4 +22 37
5 Villarreal 20 8 10 2 +9 34
6 Sociedad 20 8 7 5 +13 31
7 Granada 20 8 4 8 -10 28
8 Betis 20 8 3 9 -8 27
9 Ath Bilbao 19 7 3 9 +3 24
10 Celta 20 6 6 8 -7 24
11 Cadiz 20 6 6 8 -10 24
12 Levante 19 5 8 6 -1 23
13 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
14 Valencia 20 4 8 8 -3 20
15 Eibar 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Valladolid 21 4 8 9 -11 20
17 Osasuna 20 4 7 9 -10 19
18 Alaves 20 4 6 10 -11 18
19 Elche 18 3 8 7 -9 17
20 Huesca 21 2 10 9 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Levante
Éder Militão 🟥
9′
1–0 Asensio
T. Kroos
13′
32′
Morales 1–1
Miramón
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Mickaël Malsa
Vinícius Júnior 🔁
↦ E. Hazard
60′
60′
🔁 Rochina
↦ M. Malsa
60′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ Sergio León
62′
ℹ️ Enis Bardhi
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
76′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Morales
78′
Roger Martí 1–2
E. Bardhi
Sergio Arribas 🔁
↦ Asensio
82′
M. Díaz 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
82′
83′
🔁 Rúben Vezo
↦ Roger Martí
Casemiro 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
5 R. Varane D
19 Odriozola D
23 F. Mendy D
3 Éder Militão D
10 L. Modrić M
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
9 K. Benzema F
7 E. Hazard F
11 Asensio F
Bench (9)
20 Vinícius Júnior
30 Sergio Arribas
24 M. Díaz
13 A. Lunin
32 Víctor Chust
22 Isco
26 Diego Altube
12 Marcelo
31 Antonio Blanco

Coach: Z. Zidane

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor Fernández G
6 Ó. Duarte D
15 Postigo D
20 Miramón D
19 Clerc D
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales M
12 M. Malsa M
22 Melero M
7 Sergio León F
9 Roger Martí F
Bench (11)
16 Rochina
10 E. Bardhi
21 Dani Gómez
14 Rúben Vezo
3 Toño
1 Koke
34 Dani Cárdenas
23 Coke
44 E. Sevikyan
2 Son
4 Rober

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,35
U
5,53
B ✓
8,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.