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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

RB Leipzig

S T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Leverkusen

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

56%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 2. · Leverkusen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	19	14	3	2	+31	45
2	RB Leipzig	18	10	5	3	+14	35
3	Ein Frankfurt	19	8	9	2	+10	33
4	Leverkusen	18	9	5	4	+14	32
5	Dortmund	19	10	2	7	+11	32
6	Wolfsburg	18	8	8	2	+8	32
7	M'gladbach	19	8	8	3	+7	32
8	Union Berlin	19	7	8	4	+10	29
9	Freiburg	18	7	6	5	+4	27
10	Stuttgart	19	6	7	6	+6	25
11	Werder Bremen	19	5	7	7	-3	22
12	Hoffenheim	19	6	4	9	-5	22
13	Augsburg	19	6	4	9	-10	22
14	Hertha	19	4	5	10	-10	17
15	Bielefeld	18	5	2	11	-15	17
16	FC Koln	18	3	6	9	-16	15
17	Mainz	19	2	4	13	-22	10
18	Schalke 04	19	1	5	13	-34	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	2	0	+22	23
2	RB Leipzig	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	M'gladbach	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Wolfsburg	8	5	3	0	+6	18
5	Union Berlin	10	4	5	1	+9	17
6	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	5	0	+6	17
7	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Freiburg	10	4	4	2	+7	16
9	Leverkusen	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	-6	12
11	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
13	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Stuttgart	9	1	5	3	-2	8
15	Hertha	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-10	5
17	Schalke 04	10	1	2	7	-11	5
18	FC Koln	9	0	3	6	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Stuttgart	10	5	2	3	+8	17
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Dortmund	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Wolfsburg	10	3	5	2	+2	14
7	RB Leipzig	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	M'gladbach	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Union Berlin	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	FC Koln	9	3	3	3	-6	12
12	Freiburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Augsburg	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Hertha	10	2	3	5	-2	9
16	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Mainz	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Schalke 04	9	0	3	6	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.