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Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 9. · Jagiellonia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 Legia 14 9 2 3 +8 29
3 Rakow 15 8 4 3 +11 28
4 Slask Wroclaw 14 7 2 5 +6 23
5 Gornik Zabrze 14 7 2 5 +4 23
6 Zaglebie 15 6 4 5 +1 22
7 Cracovia 15 5 6 4 +0 21
8 Jagiellonia 14 6 2 6 -2 20
9 Lechia Gdansk 14 6 1 7 +1 19
10 Wisla Plock 15 5 4 6 -1 19
11 Lech Poznan 14 4 5 5 +1 17
12 Warta Poznan 15 5 1 9 -5 16
13 Wisla 14 3 5 6 +0 14
14 Piast Gliwice 14 3 5 6 -1 14
15 Stal Mielec 14 3 4 7 -11 13
16 Podbeskidzie 14 2 3 9 -25 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.