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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Eibar
U S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Sevilla
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 39%
20%
58%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
35%
32%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
42%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 15. · Sevilla 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 18 15 2 1 +28 47
2 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +18 40
3 Barcelona 19 11 4 4 +22 37
4 Sevilla 19 11 3 5 +10 36
5 Villarreal 20 8 10 2 +9 34
6 Sociedad 20 8 7 5 +13 31
7 Granada 20 8 4 8 -10 28
8 Betis 20 8 3 9 -8 27
9 Ath Bilbao 19 7 3 9 +3 24
10 Celta 20 6 6 8 -7 24
11 Cadiz 20 6 6 8 -10 24
12 Levante 19 5 8 6 -1 23
13 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
14 Valencia 20 4 8 8 -3 20
15 Eibar 20 4 8 8 -4 20
16 Valladolid 21 4 8 9 -11 20
17 Osasuna 20 4 7 9 -10 19
18 Alaves 20 4 6 10 -11 18
19 Elche 18 3 8 7 -9 17
20 Huesca 21 2 10 9 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sevilla
7′
🔁 K. Rekik
↦ M. Acuña
Paulo Oliveira 🟨
9′
Papakouli Diop 🟨
17′
20′
🟨 Sergi Gómez
20′
ℹ️ Youssef En-Nesyri
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
ℹ️ Youssef En-Nesyri
VAR: Goal cancelled
28′
L. Ocampos 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Pedro León 🔁
↦ T. Inui
46′
46′
🔁 Aleix Vidal
↦ Navas
55′
Joan Jordán 0–2
Aleix Vidal
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Y. Muto
60′
Yoel 🔁
↦ M. Dmitrović
61′
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
62′
70′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ Óliver Torres
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozo
75′
Aleix García 🔁
↦ P. Diop
75′
Róber 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 Munir
↦ Suso
82′
🔁 Diego Carlos
↦ Sergi Gómez
90′
🟨 Ivan Rakitić
90′
🟨 Munir El Haddadi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Bigas D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
12 Y. Muto F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (11)
21 Pedro León
9 Sergi Enrich
13 Yoel
20 Rober Correa
19 Aleix García
18 Recio
6 Sergio Álvarez
11 Rafa
7 Quique González
2 E. Burgos
15 Cote

Coach: Mendilibar

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
3 Sergi Gómez D
12 J. Koundé D
25 Fernando M
5 L. Ocampos F
19 M. Acuña D
7 Suso F
21 Óliver Torres M
8 Joan Jordán M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
4 K. Rekik
17 Aleix Vidal
10 I. Rakitić
11 Munir
20 Diego Carlos
9 L. de Jong
33 Alfonso Pastor
31 Javi Díaz
22 F. Vázquez
24 Papu Gómez
23 O. Idrissi
2 J. Gnagnon

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,05
U
3,26
B ✓
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.