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Serie A
Referee: G Aureliano
Inter
S S S S S
6–2
Full-time
Crotone
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
71%
14%
Points per game
2,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
79%
57%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,4
0,9
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 2. · Crotone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 14 10 4 0 +16 34
2 Inter 14 10 3 1 +17 33
3 Roma 14 8 3 3 +8 27
4 Sassuolo 14 7 5 2 +9 26
5 Napoli 13 8 1 4 +15 25
6 Juventus 13 6 6 1 +12 24
7 Atalanta 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Lazio 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Verona 14 5 5 4 +4 20
10 Benevento 14 5 3 6 -6 18
11 Sampdoria 14 5 2 7 -1 17
12 Udinese 13 4 3 6 -3 15
13 Bologna 14 4 3 7 -6 15
14 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 -5 14
15 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 -6 14
16 Parma 14 2 6 6 -12 12
17 Spezia 14 2 5 7 -10 11
18 Genoa 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Crotone 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Torino 14 1 5 8 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Crotone
8′
🟨 Arkadiusz Reca
12′
N. Zanellato 0–1
Junior Messias
1–1 L. Martínez
R. Lukaku
19′
22′
🟨 Vladimir Golemić
1–2 L. Marrone
own goal
31′
34′
ℹ️ Arkadiusz Reca
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
V. Golemić 1–3
Half-time 1–3
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ A. Vidal
46′
52′
🟨 Sebastiano Luperto
2–3 L. Martínez
M. Brozović
57′
61′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ E. Rivière
3–3 R. Lukaku
A. Bastoni
64′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ N. Barella
70′
70′
🔁 L. Magallán
↦ S. Luperto
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ A. Young
75′
I. Perišić 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
75′
4–3 L. Martínez
78′
A. Kolarov 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
81′
85′
🔁 K. Djidji
↦ V. Golemić
85′
🔁 M. Vulić
↦ S. Molina
85′
🔁 L. Rojas
↦ Junior Messias
5–3 A. Hakimi
M. Darmian
87′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
15 A. Young M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
22 A. Vidal M
77 M. Brozović M
23 N. Barella M
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
12 S. Sensi
5 R. Gagliardini
36 M. Darmian
14 I. Perišić
11 A. Kolarov
24 C. Eriksen
27 D. Padelli
97 I. Radu
13 A. Ranocchia
7 A. Sánchez
33 D. D'Ambrosio

Coach: A. Conte

Crotone

3-5-2
1 A. Cordaz G
34 L. Marrone D
5 V. Golemić D
13 S. Luperto D
32 Pedro Pereira M
17 S. Molina M
95 Eduardo Henrique M
69 A. Reca M
21 N. Zanellato M
97 E. Rivière F
30 Junior Messias F
Bench (12)
25 S. Nwankwo
6 L. Magallán
26 K. Djidji
77 M. Vulić
20 L. Rojas
11 D. Drăguş
3 G. Cuomo
14 G. Crociata
28 L. Siligardi
44 J. Petriccione
16 M. Festa
33 A. Rispoli

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,85
B
12,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.