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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
S T T T U
1–3
Full-time
Charleroi
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 13. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 25 15 5 5 +16 50
2 Club Brugge 22 14 4 4 +29 46
3 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 12 7 9 +3 43
5 Waregem 28 13 3 12 +1 42
6 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +4 41
7 Beerschot VA 27 12 4 11 -3 40
8 Anderlecht 25 8 13 4 +11 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
10 Eupen 28 8 12 8 -8 36
11 Charleroi 26 10 5 11 +0 35
12 Gent 24 10 4 10 +9 34
13 Kortrijk 26 9 6 11 -5 33
14 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
15 St Truiden 27 7 7 13 -10 28
16 Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -11 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -11 26
18 Cercle Brugge 26 8 1 17 -10 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21
20 Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Charleroi
22′
A. Gholizadeh 0–1
K. Rezaei
Half-time 0–2
55′
M. Fall 0–2
58′
🟨 Amine Benchaib
M. Badamosi 🔁
↦ T. Sainsbury
58′
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ A. Palaversa
58′
Timothy Derijck 🟥
60′
62′
M. Fall 0–3
J. Kayembe
67′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ K. Rezaei
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ Z. Gano
68′
68′
🔁 M. Ilaimaharitra
↦ R. Morioka
73′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ M. Fall
Michiel Jonckheere 🟨
76′
Y. Van Den Bossche 🔁
↦ T. Chevalier
76′
76′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ A. Gholizadeh
77′
🔁 L. Malungu
↦ O. Vranješ
1–3 H. Guèye
F. Selemani
81′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-1-2
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
5 T. Sainsbury D
6 L. Rougeaux D
4 G. Dewaele D
25 Y. Makarenko M
8 A. Palaversa M
9 T. Chevalier F
93 Z. Gano F
10 F. Selemani M
51 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
19 M. Badamosi
27 M. Jonckheere
17 H. Guèye
41 Y. Van Den Bossche
20 S. Sissoko
1 A. Jakubech
3 B. Hines-Ike

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
3 O. Vranješ D
24 D. Dessoleil D
12 J. Kayembe F
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
7 J. Botaka F
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
34 A. Benchaib M
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Bruno
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
18 L. Malungu
1 N. Penneteau
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U
3,26
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.