Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Lazio
Torino
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 7 |
Cagliari
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |
Parma
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 11 |
Verona
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Milan
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 |
Sassuolo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |
Brescia
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Spal
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sampdoria
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fiorentina
Lazio
Lazio
Atalanta
Bologna
Lazio
Lazio
Genoa
Inter
Lazio
D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.