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Serie A

Referee: M Irrati

Brescia

T T T T S

3–0

Full-time

Lecce

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

20%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

64%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

43%

73%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

13 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 26

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 19. · Lecce 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	12	2	1	+18	38
2	Juventus	15	11	3	1	+11	36
3	Lazio	15	10	3	2	+21	33
4	Cagliari	15	8	5	2	+12	29
5	Roma	15	8	5	2	+11	29
6	Atalanta	15	8	4	3	+14	28
7	Napoli	15	5	6	4	+5	21
8	Parma	15	6	3	6	+3	21
9	Torino	15	6	2	7	-3	20
10	Milan	15	6	2	7	-3	20
11	Verona	15	5	3	7	-3	18
12	Bologna	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Fiorentina	15	4	4	7	-4	16
14	Sassuolo	14	4	3	7	-1	15
15	Lecce	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-14	15
17	Sampdoria	15	3	3	9	-13	12
18	Genoa	15	2	5	8	-13	11
19	Brescia	14	3	1	10	-15	10
20	Spal	15	2	3	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+7	19
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Parma	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Verona	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Torino	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Udinese	8	3	2	3	-4	11
11	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+4	10
12	Sassuolo	8	3	1	4	+2	10
13	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-4	9
14	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Spal	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Milan	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Genoa	7	2	1	4	-2	7
19	Lecce	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Brescia	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Atalanta	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Roma	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Cagliari	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Milan	8	4	0	4	+0	12
8	Lecce	8	3	2	3	-4	11
9	Napoli	8	2	4	2	+2	10
10	Parma	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Torino	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Brescia	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Verona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Genoa	8	0	4	4	-11	4
19	Sampdoria	7	1	0	6	-9	3
20	Spal	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.