Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hearts
ST Johnstone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +37 | 40 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +35 | 38 |
| 3 |
Motherwell
|
17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | +7 | 31 |
| 4 |
Aberdeen
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 29 |
| 5 |
Kilmarnock
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 |
Hibernian
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 |
Livingston
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 |
Ross County
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -16 | 17 |
| 9 |
St Mirren
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -12 | 14 |
| 10 |
Hearts
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 |
Hamilton
|
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -14 | 12 |
| 12 |
ST Johnstone
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -20 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Motherwell
Hearts
Hearts
Livingston
Rangers
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Hearts
St Mirren
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.