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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Twente
T S T T U
0–3
Full-time
Vitesse
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
75%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 12. · Vitesse 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 16 13 2 1 +38 41
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 12 2 2 +30 38
3 Willem II 17 10 2 5 +5 32
4 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 4 3 +18 31
5 Heerenveen 17 7 6 4 +7 27
6 Utrecht 16 8 2 6 +7 26
7 Heracles 16 7 4 5 +7 25
8 Feyenoord 16 6 7 3 +2 25
9 Vitesse 16 7 3 6 +2 24
10 Groningen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
11 Sparta Rotterdam 16 5 5 6 -4 20
12 Twente 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 For Sittard 17 5 3 9 -19 18
14 Zwolle 17 5 1 11 -14 16
15 FC Emmen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
16 VVV Venlo 17 5 0 12 -24 15
17 Den Haag 17 3 4 10 -13 13
18 Waalwijk 17 2 2 13 -24 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
Keito Nakamura 🟨
27′
34′
🟨 Max Clark
R. Zekhnini 🔁
↦ K. Nakamura
39′
P. Bijen 🔁
↦ X. Schenk
42′
Half-time 0–1
51′
B. Linssen 0–1
56′
🟨 Keisuke Honda
61′
N. Dicko 0–2
T. Matavž
68′
🔁 O. Tannane
↦ N. Dicko
72′
B. Linssen 0–3
T. Matavž
E. Berggreen 🔁
↦ H. Vučkič
75′
76′
🔁 Y. Oukili
↦ P. Vroegh
81′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Matavž
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
3 X. Schenk D
4 C. Verdonk D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
6 W. Brama M
10 H. Vučkič F
8 Javier Espinosa M
20 Oriol Busquets D
18 L. Selahi M
7 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
13 K. Nakamura F
Bench (10)
14 R. Zekhnini
25 P. Bijen
9 E. Berggreen
30 E. van der Gouw
32 J. Bosch
19 J. Latibeaudiere
21 G. Aburjania
11 Q. Menig
22 J. de Lange
31 R. Zerrouki

Coach: Gonzalo García

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 J. Lelieveld D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
5 M. Clark D
33 K. Honda M
25 N. Foor M
36 P. Vroegh M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
20 N. Dicko F
Bench (10)
14 O. Tannane
37 Y. Oukili
29 T. Buitink
18 T. Hajek
7 J. Grot
32 Ö. Aktas
39 B. Leeflang
1 K. Lamprou
13 O. Darfalou
40 B. Bayazit

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,75
B ✓
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.