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Serie A

Referee: G Rocchi

Lecce

U U T U S

2–2

Full-time

Genoa

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

64%

71%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

22 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Lecce 16. · Genoa 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	12	2	1	+18	38
2	Juventus	15	11	3	1	+11	36
3	Lazio	15	10	3	2	+21	33
4	Roma	15	8	5	2	+11	29
5	Atalanta	15	8	4	3	+14	28
6	Cagliari	14	8	4	2	+12	28
7	Napoli	15	5	6	4	+5	21
8	Parma	14	5	3	6	+2	18
9	Verona	15	5	3	7	-3	18
10	Torino	14	5	2	7	-4	17
11	Milan	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Bologna	14	4	4	6	-3	16
13	Fiorentina	14	4	4	6	-3	16
14	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-14	15
15	Sassuolo	13	4	2	7	-1	14
16	Lecce	14	3	5	6	-9	14
17	Sampdoria	14	3	3	8	-12	12
18	Genoa	14	2	4	8	-13	10
19	Spal	14	2	3	9	-12	9
20	Brescia	13	2	1	10	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+7	19
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Parma	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Verona	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Udinese	8	3	2	3	-4	11
10	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+4	10
11	Sassuolo	7	3	0	4	+2	9
12	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	-3	9
13	Bologna	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Spal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Milan	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Torino	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Genoa	7	2	1	4	-2	7
19	Lecce	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Brescia	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Atalanta	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Roma	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Cagliari	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Lecce	8	3	2	3	-4	11
8	Napoli	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Torino	7	3	0	4	-1	9
10	Milan	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Verona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Parma	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Brescia	7	2	0	5	-6	6
16	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Sampdoria	7	1	0	6	-9	3
19	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-11	3
20	Spal	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.