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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Bristol City
U T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Blackburn
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
52%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
62%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 3. · Blackburn 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 22 14 7 1 +22 49
2 Leeds 21 14 4 3 +22 46
3 Bristol City 21 9 8 4 +4 35
4 Fulham 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Nott'm Forest 20 9 7 4 +10 34
6 Preston 21 10 4 7 +7 34
7 Sheffield Weds 21 9 6 6 +9 33
8 Swansea 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Blackburn 21 9 4 8 +0 31
10 QPR 21 9 4 8 -5 31
11 Brentford 20 9 3 8 +12 30
12 Hull 22 8 6 8 +3 30
13 Cardiff 20 8 6 6 +2 30
14 Millwall 21 7 9 5 -1 30
15 Birmingham 22 8 4 10 -7 28
16 Derby 21 6 8 7 -6 26
17 Charlton 22 6 6 10 -2 24
18 Reading 20 6 4 10 -2 22
19 Huddersfield 21 5 6 10 -10 21
20 Middlesbrough 21 4 9 8 -10 21
21 Luton 21 6 2 13 -17 20
22 Stoke 21 5 2 14 -11 17
23 Wigan 21 4 5 12 -15 17
24 Barnsley 21 2 7 12 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Blackburn
2′
B. Johnson 0–1
L. Holtby
33′
🟨 Sam Gallagher
Half-time 0–1
C. O'Dowda 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
59′
J. Hunt 🔁
↦ Pedro Pereira
59′
S. Szmodics 🔁
↦ T. Rowe
69′
69′
🔁 A. Armstrong
↦ B. Brereton
77′
A. Armstrong 0–2
B. Johnson
Andreas Weimann 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ L. Holtby
86′
🟨 Darragh Lenihan
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-4-2
1 D. Bentley
29 A. Williams D
22 T. Kalas D
32 Pedro Pereira D
25 T. Rowe D
19 N. Eliasson M
8 J. Brownhill M
4 Á. Nagy M
42 H. Massengo M
14 A. Weimann F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
11 C. O'Dowda
2 J. Hunt
17 S. Szmodics
7 K. Smith
33 N. Mäenpää
18 A. Semenyo
6 N. Baker

Coach: L. Johnson

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 C. Walton G
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
31 E. Bennett M
4 B. Johnson M
22 L. Holtby M
9 S. Gallagher F
20 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
7 A. Armstrong
8 J. Rothwell
10 D. Graham
29 C. Evans
39 J. Buckley
13 J. Leutwiler
19 S. Downing

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,43
B ✓
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.