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Super League
Referee: G Kominis
OFI Crete
T T S T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 15/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
47%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
46%
Both score Ø 71%
73%
69%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 10 4 0 +19 34
2 PAOK 14 9 5 0 +13 32
3 OFI Crete 15 7 2 6 +8 23
4 AEK 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Larisa 14 6 4 4 +2 22
6 Xanthi 14 6 1 7 -4 19
7 Aris Thessalonikis 13 4 6 3 +5 18
8 Aris 14 4 6 4 +3 18
9 Lamia 14 4 6 4 -4 18
10 Volos NFC 14 5 2 7 -8 17
11 Panathinaikos 14 4 5 5 -8 17
12 Atromitos 14 4 4 6 +1 16
13 Panionios 14 3 4 7 -11 13
14 Asteras Tripolis 14 3 3 8 -4 12
15 Panetolikos 14 0 4 10 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete Aris Thessalonikis
12′
B. Ideye 0–1
Fran Vélez
1–1 Ricardo Vaz
N. Korovesis
30′
33′
🟨 Javier Matilla
Ricardo Vaz 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Daniel Sundgren
Felipe Souza Ferreyra 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
37′
Half-time 1–1
68′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Bruno Gama
2–1 Felipe Souza Ferreyra
71′
3–1 João Figueiredo
K. Tsilianidis
73′
Joao Figueiredo 🟨
75′
P. Staikos 🔁
↦ Ricardo Vaz
77′
79′
🔁 N. Diguiny
↦ D. Larsson
Nikolaos Marinakis 🟨
82′
88′
🔁 M. Tonso
↦ Matilla
D. Manos 🔁
↦ João Figueiredo
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
18 K. Giannoulis D
5 G. Koutroumbis D
16 N. Marinakis D
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
8 J. Neira M
19 K. Tsilianidis F
11 Lisandro Semedo F
21 Ricardo Vaz M
20 João Figueiredo F
Bench (7)
98 Felipe Souza Ferreyra
26 P. Staikos
9 D. Manos
7 A. Dinas
6 A. Nastos
47 C. Braun
1 Óscar Whalley

Coach: G. Simos

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-2
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
98 A. Ba M
10 D. Larsson M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
24 D. Mancini
7 N. Diguiny
19 M. Tonso
91 Álex Menéndez
1 F. Ehmann
18 N. Martínez
5 G. Delizisis

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Kominis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.