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Serie A

Referee: R Ros

Lecce

T T U U U

2–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

60%

78%

Both score Ø 69%

70%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 16. · Sassuolo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	2	0	+10	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+13	28
3	Roma	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Atalanta	11	6	3	2	+12	21
5	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+12	18
7	Napoli	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Fiorentina	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Parma	10	4	1	5	+1	13
10	Milan	10	4	1	5	-3	13
11	Verona	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Bologna	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Torino	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Udinese	10	3	1	6	-12	10
15	Sassuolo	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	Lecce	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	Genoa	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Brescia	9	2	1	6	-5	7
19	Spal	10	2	1	7	-10	7
20	Sampdoria	10	1	2	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Roma	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Parma	6	3	0	3	+2	9
8	Udinese	6	3	0	3	-4	9
9	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
11	Genoa	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bologna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Spal	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	+1	6
17	Verona	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Brescia	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+4	14
4	Roma	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Cagliari	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Lecce	6	2	2	2	-3	8
9	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Verona	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Milan	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Torino	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Udinese	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-11	1
19	Sampdoria	5	0	0	5	-9	0
20	Spal	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.