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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Ath Madrid

U S U T U

2–0

Full-time

Osasuna

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

13%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

1,6

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 7. · Osasuna 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	11	2	3	+23	35
2	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Sevilla	16	9	4	3	+5	31
4	Sociedad	17	8	4	5	+8	28
5	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
6	Ath Bilbao	17	7	6	4	+7	27
7	Ath Madrid	16	6	8	2	+6	26
8	Valencia	16	7	5	4	+3	26
9	Granada	17	7	3	7	+2	24
10	Osasuna	16	5	8	3	+4	23
11	Levante	17	7	2	8	-4	23
12	Betis	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Villarreal	16	5	4	7	+4	19
14	Valladolid	16	4	7	5	-4	19
15	Alaves	17	5	4	8	-6	19
16	Eibar	17	4	4	9	-13	16
17	Mallorca	16	4	2	10	-12	14
18	Celta	16	3	4	9	-11	13
19	Leganes	17	2	4	11	-16	10
20	Espanol	16	2	3	11	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+14	20
3	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Betis	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Valencia	8	4	4	0	+6	16
6	Granada	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Getafe	8	4	3	1	+8	15
8	Alaves	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
10	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
11	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+4	14
12	Levante	8	4	2	2	+3	14
13	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
14	Villarreal	8	3	4	1	+7	13
15	Osasuna	8	3	4	1	+4	13
16	Valladolid	7	2	4	1	+4	10
17	Eibar	8	3	0	5	-7	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	9	2	1	6	-6	7
20	Espanol	8	0	1	7	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	9	5	2	2	+1	17
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
4	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
5	Getafe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Osasuna	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Valencia	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Levante	9	3	0	6	-7	9
10	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
11	Granada	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Espanol	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Ath Bilbao	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-6	7
15	Villarreal	8	2	0	6	-3	6
16	Celta	8	1	2	5	-7	5
17	Betis	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Alaves	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Leganes	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Mallorca	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.